Stephen Miran, chair of Trump's Council of Economic Advisors, nominated to open Fed governor role. How fast can he be confirmed and how long could he serve?
Economy
Recession Alert! No, really ... look what we’re drinking. It's Aperol-flavored Miller High Life.
Trump approves The Late Show sign for Powell’s new Fed building. Just joking, but admit it: "The Late Show" is a better Trump nickname for Powell than "Too Late."
Is the Fed succeeding at it's dual mandate of low prices and low unemployment? Besset says the Fed should be examined to make sure.
U.S. tax & spending bill expected to add $3+ trillion to deficit next 10yrs. Will it set off debt spiral that ends Fed independence?
Goldman Sachs bond leader says inflation bigger threat than recession for now
Today’s softer than expected CPI feels backward looking. Going forward the Fed is likely to face a difficult trade-off as tariff-driven price increases start to feed through to the inflation data. We expect the Fed’s initial reaction to be cautious.
Tariffs pose both inflation and recession risks, complicating Fed cut (dovish) or hike (hawkisk) decisions. Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari skews on side of hawkish pause.

Tariffs increase builder costs by $9200 per home. At today's newly-built home price of $414,500 with 5% down, a household must make $119k/yr to qualify.
Market experts Larry Summers, Nouriel Roubini, Mohamed El-Erian, and others offer advice and reactions to tariffs
MUST READ: Bridgewater’s Dalio says tariffs are taxes, and lays out first and second order consequences.
Former Treasury Secretaries Rubin, Summers, Geithner, Lew, Yellen detail “the risks of arbitrary and capricious political control of federal payments” by DOGE
Bloomberg did the first extended interview with new Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, covering every major issue facing America. Worth the watch.
U.S. economy added 143k jobs in January, and December was revised up to 307k. Healthcare, retail, government jobs led way. Will this change as Trump thins out government?
U.S. added 256k jobs in Dec with 4.1% unemployment and 3.9% wage growth. Healthcare, leisure & hospitality, retail sectors led job gains.
U.S. statistical agencies, including one that publishes monthly jobs report, are under financial pressure that jeopardizes the data. The ripple effects hit everything from investment decisions to funding for local developments.

