ISM Manufacturing Index

 

As 2006 ended, most economists and Fed officials were expecting the economy to be crippled by high energy prices plus weak housing and manufacturing. But so far in 2007, wages and employment are increasing, energy costs are dropping, and even housing is holding up in many areas. All of this means rates have climbed and

/ Read More

 

Since the Fed rate pause on September 20, fixed and ARM rates have come down about .25%. The logic driving rate markets lower is that the Fed’s 4.25% of rate hikes from June 2004 to June 2006 have beat inflation out of the economy. But since inflation data lags the economy by about six months,

/ Read More

 

Rates open this week up another .125% across the board, bringing the 4 week total to about +.45%. Last week I said Friday’s 2Q GDP (economic growth) figures would help determine whether rates would keep moving up or not. GDP was 3.4%, right at expectations. But the hot housing and manufacturing data caused investors to

/ Read More