Great chart from Bespoke. And a word on growing QE dissent in the Fed ranks.
Richard Fisher
Rates started the day up, but have since dropped. Here's why.
Below is the full FOMC statement from today’s Fed meeting, and there are three dissenters on today’s new language stating a low rate target “at least through mid-2013”. These dissents are a big change because all FOMC decisions received unanimous votes since the Thomas Hoenig rotated off the FOMC in January, and he was the
Below is the full FOMC statement from today’s Fed meeting, and there are three dissenters on today’s new language stating a low rate target “at least through mid-2013”. These dissents are a big change because all FOMC decisions received unanimous votes since the Thomas Hoenig rotated off the FOMC in January, and he was the
Dallas Fed president was out in force last week with anti-inflation warnings, first during an interview with Reuters, then during a speech in Brussels. Yet throughout the crisis recovery period, he’s used his position on the FOMC to vote for near-zero overnight rates and to press forward with two rounds (and more than $2 trillion
Stocks are up today (Dow +73, S&P +8) as global growth sentiment outweighs the “not-a-war” in Libya, fiscal crisis in Europe, Japan’s earthquake aftermath, and declining consumer sentiment. Bonds are slightly higher (10yr Note +3 basis points, FNMA 30yr 4% coupon +12 basis points) despite the stock rally and hawkish inflation statements from two Fed
Stocks are up today (Dow +73, S&P +8) as global growth sentiment outweighs the “not-a-war” in Libya, fiscal crisis in Europe, Japan’s earthquake aftermath, and declining consumer sentiment. Bonds are slightly higher (10yr Note +3 basis points, FNMA 30yr 4% coupon +12 basis points) despite the stock rally and hawkish inflation statements from two Fed
Thirty-year rates are up .125% since Friday to 4.875% with zero points. Rates for loans above $417,000 and condos are higher. Weak U.S. new home sales data and Europe’s ongoing debt crisis have helped U.S. mortgage bonds rally in the past year, pushing rates down, but inflation is becoming the primary concern for bonds, which
Today’s Fed statement acknowledges economic recovery is on “firmer footing,” and while the Fed acknowledges inflationary concerns, it’s choosing to ignore inflation pressure for now and keeping overnight bank-to-bank target Fed Funds Rates at 0-.25%, and keeping the overnight Fed-to-bank Discount Rates at .75%. They also said they’d keep going with their second round of
Below is the statement from the first Fed rate policy of 2011, which shows their view that the economic recovery and jobs situation is still unstable. They left overnight bank to bank lending rates the same at a 0-.25% target, and also said they’d continue their $600b quantitative easing program designed to lower business rates
Below is the full statement from the Federal Open Market Committee from their final meeting of 2008. They cut the overnight bank-to-bank Fed Funds Rate to a target range of 0 to .25% and cut the Fed-to-bank Discount Rate to 0.5%. They also reiterated their commitment to purchase up to $500b in mortgage bonds in
The Federal Open Market Committee today cut the bank-to-bank Fed Funds Rate 50bps to 1% and the Fed-to-bank Discount Rate 50bps to 1.25%, citing a marked decline in consumer expenditures. These cuts to short term rate are aimed at getting short-term business-to-business lending back on track, which then feeds down to the consumer. Since most
By holding the bank-to-bank Fed Funds Rate at 2% and the Fed-to-bank Discount rate at 2.25% at their FOMC meeting today, the Fed proved that the financial storm that’s been blowing since August 2007 requires much more than rate cuts. It’s not so much about the price of money right now, but rather the availability
The US Producer Price Index was up 1.2% in July and up 9.8% year-over-year through July. This was the largest YOY spike since 19891, and is due mostly to the oil price spike we had during the second quarter. Normally rate markets would spike on this inflationary news, but rates have been stable today because
Following their meeting today, the Federal Open Market Committee kept the bank-to-bank Fed Funds Rate at 2% and the Fed-to-bank Discount Rate at 2.25%, and said that “The Committee expects inflation to moderate later this year and next year, but the inflation outlook remains highly uncertain.” This is following their June 25 statement where they
Following their June 24-25 meeting today, the Federal Open Market Committee kept the Fed Funds Rate at 2% and the Discount Rate at 2.25%, and said that “uncertainty about the inflation outlook remains high,” and “upside risks to inflation and inflation expectations have increased.” This is a slight shift from their April 30 meeting where
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